The Pittsburgh Pirates come into Coors Field tonight sitting right at .500 at 38-38, taking on the Colorado Rockies who are a rough 29-47 and look like they're already playing out the string. Vegas has the Pirates at -206, which is a lot of juice to lay on a club that can't stay above the break-even line, but Coors is Coors — that over/under of 10.5 is doing a lot of work, because any starter who doesn't keep the ball down in that thin air is going to watch it left the yard in a hurry.

If the Pirates' starter can go six or seven and hand it to a warm bullpen without giving up four in the middle innings, Pittsburgh covers the 1.5 easily. Bold prediction: the Rockies' pen implodes late, Pittsburgh's heart of the order gets into their stuff in the seventh, and this one ends ugly for Colorado.