The Texas Rangers roll into Fenway at 34-35, which sounds bad until you look across the diamond at a Boston Red Sox club sitting at 28-39 — so this is really two .500-or-bust teams scrapping for relevance in mid-June. Boston opens as a -120 home favorite with the over-under sitting at eight, which tells you Vegas thinks the starters are going to keep it close early before somebody's bullpen gets overworked.

Fenway always plays a little funny with the Green Monster in play, so watch the heart of the order on both sides — any ball left out over the plate has a chance to leave the yard and blow the line wide open. Bold call: the Rangers' pen holds late and Texas steals one on the road, because Boston's backend has been shaky all year and a getaway day crowd at Fenway doesn't exactly rattle visiting hitters.