Pirates at Yankees tonight at the Stadium, and this is a proper contender-versus-pretender gap: New York's 56-44 and rolling, Pittsburgh's 52-49 and scrapping for relevance, with the Yanks juiced up to -171 favorites and the total sitting at 8.5. Watch the heart of the Yankees order to lean on whatever soft-tossing arm Pittsburgh trots out, since the Pirates' rotation has been running on fumes behind the bullpen all year.

If Pittsburgh's starter can't get through six and it's an early call to the pen, this one gets out of hand fast. Bold call: Yankees blow it open by the fifth and the under never sniffs 8.5.