The Boston Red Sox drag their 27-35 record into the Bronx tonight to face a New York Yankees squad sitting ten games over at 37-26, so the stakes are pretty lopsided — this is the kind of series that can quietly bury a team's wild card hopes before July. Vegas has the Yankees at -131, which tells you everything about how the books feel about Boston's pitching situation right now; the o/u is 8.5, meaning somebody's bullpen is expected to take a beating before the final out.

Both teams have been grinding through the heart of their schedules, and a getaway-day atmosphere at Yankee Stadium tends to wake up the home crowd in a big way. Bold prediction: the Yankees jump on the starter early, chase him before he gets through five, and somebody in the heart of their order leaves the yard to put it away before the eighth.