Argentina and Spain square off at MetLife Stadium Sunday in what looks like the World Cup final nobody wanted to miss — the defending champions against the side with arguably the sharpest through-ball game left in the draw. The books have Spain as slight underdogs at +125, which is a touch surprising given how brilliant La Roja have looked going forward, but nobody's picking against Messi's lot until someone actually stops them.

Vegas is calling for a tight one with the over/under at 2.5, so expect both managers to set up cautious early — neither team wants to be the side that gifted a goal and then chased the game. Bold prediction: this thing goes to extra time, Spain find the net late on a set piece, and the defending champions are finally going home.